Northern Waters Dispute: Difference between revisions
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While the 1 November Incident was in many ways reminiscent of the incursions of the Crab Wars, they set a new and far more dangerous tone between the two countries. The prospect of military parity raised the specter of an armed confrontation between the two nations, and the Incident is generally considered to be the starting point for the Second Yeralik Crisis.
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The Kapan Autonomy remained the strongest supporter for reclaiming Yeralik, and it quickly followed up the 1 November Incident by mobilizing its own Autonomous Militia for exercises along the western coast starting on 2 November. Simultaneously, after fruitless discussions between Ambassador Tugan and Foreign Minister Reitz, the Älemsi Foreign Ministry began to expel numerous Cryrian diplomats and agents. While these expulsions had begun prior to 1 November, by 2 November the Cryrian consulate in Zavital Khümüüs had been effectively shuttered.
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[[File:SSI.jpg|thumb|Cryrian Special Naval Infantry unit on exercises in 2001]]
Following the mobilization, the Cryrian General Staff began taking the possibility of a conflict with Älemsi Negdel more seriously. It is believed that the CDF subsequently deployed elements of the Special Naval Infantry, or ''Särskilt Sjöinfanteri''(SSI), to Yeralik Island in order to prevent a repeat of the covert occupation witnessed in 1957. Such a deployment has never been confirmed by the Cryrian government however, and is only referenced in materials published by the Älemsi National Intelligence Service in 2003. It remains unclear how much, if any, of the estimated 450-strong SSI was moved to Yeralik, but such a presence would have violated the spirit if not the letter of the Amrakh Agreement, and demonstrated the degree to which Leidenstad expected an incursion.
Cryrian concerns soon came to fruition as by 10 November, a general mobilization of the Älemsi National Military and all of its Autonomous Militias was underway.
=== Renewed Negotiations ===
Faced with the worst-case scenario of an uncontrolled escalation of the crisis, the Cryrian government secretly reinitiated diplomatic contacts with its Älemsi counterparts. It is thought that these early discussions were facilitated by the House of Tynam and the Gazny Autonomy, and soon became the focus of efforts to resolve the crisis peacefully.
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