2021 Great Morstaybishlia General Election: Difference between revisions

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| colour5 = FFD700
| colour5 = FFD700
| leader_since5 = 28 February 2021
| leader_since5 = 28 February 2021
| party5 = [[Justelvardic Unionist Party|JUP]]
| party5 = [[Jusdelvic Unionist Party|JUP]]
| last_election5 = 33 seats, 1.8%
| last_election5 = 33 seats, 1.8%
| seats5 = 15
| seats5 = 15
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Barvata lost his working majority after members of his party voted against an amendment to the Anti-Terrorism Act 2020 following the [[2021 Joralesian attacks]] on 8 March 2021. Barvata put an early election to the House of Representatives but it was defeated. He attempted to reconvene his working majority with a second amendment to the Anti-Terrorism Act 2020 but it was again defeated, this time by only 2 votes. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 1999 an election had not been due until February 2026, but following the string of vote defeats Barvata circumvented the operation of ordinary electoral law by passing the Early Parliamentary General Election Act 2021 which only required a normal majority and which passed 1139-64.<ref>[[MBC]], 9th March 2021. ''Early Election Bill Passes Representatives''. https://forum.theeastpacific.com/mbc-t3205-s120.html#p243440</ref>
Barvata lost his working majority after members of his party voted against an amendment to the Anti-Terrorism Act 2020 following the [[2021 Joralesian attacks]] on 8 March 2021. Barvata put an early election to the House of Representatives but it was defeated. He attempted to reconvene his working majority with a second amendment to the Anti-Terrorism Act 2020 but it was again defeated, this time by only 2 votes. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 1999 an election had not been due until February 2026, but following the string of vote defeats Barvata circumvented the operation of ordinary electoral law by passing the Early Parliamentary General Election Act 2021 which only required a normal majority and which passed 1139-64.<ref>[[MBC]], 9th March 2021. ''Early Election Bill Passes Representatives''. https://forum.theeastpacific.com/mbc-t3205-s120.html#p243440</ref>


The governing Progress Party remained the largest single party in the House of Representatives but lost its small overall majority, instead relying on an 11 seat working majority after a net loss of 47. A total of 54 MPs within the Progress Party identified with the Valerian Progress faction and Barvata signed a special arrangement with their leader, [[Nellie Hermin]], on the basis that South Staynes be allowed three votes; one for independence, and if that failed, one to hold a name referendum and another for a devolution referendum. Progress lost seats in the Marislia region but gained many seats in Justelvard for the first time. The [[Podites|Principles]] won 600 seats, their lowest since the [[1998 Great Morstaybishlia General Election|1998 general election]]. The [[Marislian Independence Party]] (MARIP) made a net gain of 83 seats and won 3.5% of the MBE (translating to 39.45% of the popular vote in Marislia), resulting in 89 out of 155 seats won in Marislia. The [[Civic Party (MBE)|Civic Party]] improved their vote share to 22.9% and won 205 seats, a net gain of 58 since the last election and the most amount of seats they have held since [[2005 Great Morstaybishlia General Election|2005]]. The [[MBE Liberals|Liberal Party]] won 14 seats, a net loss of 13 seats. The [[Green Alliance MBE|Greens]] lost 9 of their 11 seats that they gained and entered parliament with for the first time in 2019.
The governing Progress Party remained the largest single party in the House of Representatives but lost its small overall majority, instead relying on an 11 seat working majority after a net loss of 47. A total of 54 MPs within the Progress Party identified with the Valerian Progress faction and Barvata signed a special arrangement with their leader, [[Nellie Hermin]], on the basis that South Staynes be allowed three votes; one for independence, and if that failed, one to hold a name referendum and another for a devolution referendum. Progress lost seats in the Marislia region but gained many seats in Jusdelva for the first time. The [[Podites|Principles]] won 600 seats, their lowest since the [[1998 Great Morstaybishlia General Election|1998 general election]]. The [[Marislian Independence Party]] (MARIP) made a net gain of 83 seats and won 3.5% of the MBE (translating to 39.45% of the popular vote in Marislia), resulting in 89 out of 155 seats won in Marislia. The [[Civic Party (MBE)|Civic Party]] improved their vote share to 22.9% and won 205 seats, a net gain of 58 since the last election and the most amount of seats they have held since [[2005 Great Morstaybishlia General Election|2005]]. The [[MBE Liberals|Liberal Party]] won 14 seats, a net loss of 13 seats. The [[Green Alliance MBE|Greens]] lost 9 of their 11 seats that they gained and entered parliament with for the first time in 2019.


The [[Justelvardic Unionist Party]] (JUP) won 15 of their 33 seats, facing losses to all three major parties, all of which seats won from metropolitan Morstaybishlian parties for the first time. The election saw a trend where minor parties saw decline, besides both the [[Marislian Independence Party|MARIP]], which gained the most seats of any independence party in any general election in Morstaybishlian history; and [[Jūs Herekore]] which gained one seat in the Western Outliers Provinces. Due to MARIP being abstentionist and winning 89 seats, the working majority was significantly less than working majorities of the past, allowing Progress to govern without a coalition. This polarisation of seats to the bigger parties has been put down to several crises that has hit the MBE since early 2020, including the [[2020 Puntalian Crisis]], [[July 2020 Kaltar attacks|July]] and [[August 2020 Kaltar police attack|August]] [[Kaltar]] terrorist attacks, the [[2020 Aegis independence crisis]] and the [[2021 Joralesian attacks]]. For the MARIP leader, [[Romilda von Anzitter]], her party's landslide victory in the Marislian region led to calls for an independence referendum, to which the Progress Party had expressed its opposition before and during the election. Although nationalist MPs outnumbered union oriented ones for the first time in history, the unionist popular vote remained higher (60.5 percent). The Speaker of the House of Representatives Baron Munchiro was re-elected on Monday 5 April 2021.
The [[Jusdelvic Unionist Party]] (JUP) won 15 of their 33 seats, facing losses to all three major parties, all of which seats won from metropolitan Morstaybishlian parties for the first time. The election saw a trend where minor parties saw decline, besides both the [[Marislian Independence Party|MARIP]], which gained the most seats of any independence party in any general election in Morstaybishlian history; and [[Jūs Herekore]] which gained one seat in the Western Outliers Provinces. Due to MARIP being abstentionist and winning 89 seats, the working majority was significantly less than working majorities of the past, allowing Progress to govern without a coalition. This polarisation of seats to the bigger parties has been put down to several crises that has hit the MBE since early 2020, including the [[2020 Puntalian Crisis]], [[July 2020 Kaltar attacks|July]] and [[August 2020 Kaltar police attack|August]] [[Kaltar]] terrorist attacks, the [[2020 Aegis independence crisis]] and the [[2021 Joralesian attacks]]. For the MARIP leader, [[Romilda von Anzitter]], her party's landslide victory in the Marislian region led to calls for an independence referendum, to which the Progress Party had expressed its opposition before and during the election. Although nationalist MPs outnumbered union oriented ones for the first time in history, the unionist popular vote remained higher (60.5 percent). The Speaker of the House of Representatives Baron Munchiro was re-elected on Monday 5 April 2021.


== Date of the election ==
== Date of the election ==
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=== Justelvard ===
=== Jusdelva===
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|[[Justelvardic Unionist Party|JUP]]
|[[Jusdelvic Unionist Party|JUP]]
|[[Arran Samsey]]
|[[Arran Samsey]]
| data-sort-value="2021-02-28" |February 2021
| data-sort-value="2021-02-28" |February 2021
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===Television debates===
===Television debates===
[[MBC]] aired a head-to-head election debate between [[Franklin Barvata]] and [[Benjamin Wardola]] on 27 March, hosted by Zoetta Ball. On 28 March STV aired a debate featuring representatives from Labour, the Conservatives, the Democrats, Liberals and Greens. JNS aired a debate with the competing Justelvardic parties on 26th and 30th March, but [[Arran Samsey]] cancelled his interview on the same day due to a change of schedule.
[[MBC]] aired a head-to-head election debate between [[Franklin Barvata]] and [[Benjamin Wardola]] on 27 March, hosted by Zoetta Ball. On 28 March STV aired a debate featuring representatives from Labour, the Conservatives, the Democrats, Liberals and Greens. JNS aired a debate with the competing Jusdelvic parties on 26th and 30th March, but [[Arran Samsey]] cancelled his interview on the same day due to a change of schedule.


==Opinion polling==
==Opinion polling==
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In Staynes, Kaltar and South Staynes both Labour and the Conservatives made a net loss of seats, the first time that had happened to both parties since the 1956 general election. The Democrats made net gains in all three countries. Marislia saw the biggest gain of any independence party since the 1960s. Lucia Malim and Aria Stemp were the only two of eleven Green MPs who retained their seats. The Liberals lost a total of 13 seats, and majorities in its remaining seats were greatly reduced. High profile losses include the seat of former Secretary of State for Defence [[Nickolas Frost]], who was the longest Defence Secretary ever from 2010 to 2019; former Democratic Party leader Jess Ghentley-Moss. The former Democratic leader Paddy Lukamortz had his constituency majority greatly reduced to 0.4 percent.
In Staynes, Kaltar and South Staynes both Labour and the Conservatives made a net loss of seats, the first time that had happened to both parties since the 1956 general election. The Democrats made net gains in all three countries. Marislia saw the biggest gain of any independence party since the 1960s. Lucia Malim and Aria Stemp were the only two of eleven Green MPs who retained their seats. The Liberals lost a total of 13 seats, and majorities in its remaining seats were greatly reduced. High profile losses include the seat of former Secretary of State for Defence [[Nickolas Frost]], who was the longest Defence Secretary ever from 2010 to 2019; former Democratic Party leader Jess Ghentley-Moss. The former Democratic leader Paddy Lukamortz had his constituency majority greatly reduced to 0.4 percent.


In Justelvard, the Unionists lost 18 seats, their worse election since they entered parliament in 2019. This was mainly due to tactical voting in Justelvard. Labour and the Democrats made the most significant gains there and was the only one of four countries where Labour and the Conservatives made net gains. Jūs Herekore made a net gain of one seat and won the vote of nearly 70,000 people. Since MARIP won 89 seats, they confirmed it would continue its abstentionist policy, leaving no Marislian nationalist representation in the House of Representatives.
In Jusdelva, the Unionists lost 18 seats, their worse election since they entered parliament in 2019. This was mainly due to tactical voting in Jusdelva. Labour and the Democrats made the most significant gains there and was the only one of four countries where Labour and the Conservatives made net gains. Jūs Herekore made a net gain of one seat and won the vote of nearly 70,000 people. Since MARIP won 89 seats, they confirmed it would continue its abstentionist policy, leaving no Marislian nationalist representation in the House of Representatives.


Reform MBE failed to win any seats despite its vote share increasing. They came second in three constituencies in Sani Bursil, contesting against only Labour candidates.
Reform MBE failed to win any seats despite its vote share increasing. They came second in three constituencies in Sani Bursil, contesting against only Labour candidates.