2022-2024 Tavari political realignment: Difference between revisions

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[[File:Tavari Diet.png|right|thumb|400px|The Tavari Diet as it stood at the most recent election, 31 May 2022. The parties are, from left to right:<br /><br />'''Government:'''<br />Irínavi Voi!: 559 seats<br /><br />'''Confidence and Supply:'''<br />Tavari National Party: 17 seats<br />Republican Alternative: 6 seats<br /><br />'''Other Opposition:'''<br />Coalition Right: 60 seats<br />The Liberals: 72 seats<br /><br />'''Official Opposition:'''<br />Socialist Green Party for Democracy: 438 seats]]
A realignment of political parties in Tavaris began in 2022 in response to a drastically shifting political environment in light of [[Acronis|Acronian]] independence.
[[File:Realigned Tavari Diet.svg|right|thumb|400px|The Tavari Diet after the realignment. The parties are, from left to right:<br /><br />'''Government:'''<br />Irínavi Voi!: 559 seats<br /><br />'''Confidence and Supply:'''<br />Tavari National Party: 17 seats<br /><br />'''Other Opposition:'''<br />The Liberals: 129 seats<br />Independents: 9 seats<br />New Tavari Communist Party: 12 seats<br />Urth: 57 seats<br />Green Tavaris: 105 seats<br />Labour Party: 121 seats <br /><br />'''Official Opposition:'''<br />For Democracy: 143 seats]]
 
A realignment of political parties in Tavaris began in 2022 in response to a drastically shifting political environment in light of [[Acronis|Acronian]] independence. The first stage of the realignment saw significant consolidation on the left and fragmentation on the right, only for this situation to entirely reverse by 2024. The realignment saw hundreds of legislators across Tavaris switch their party affiliations, and reverberations from the shifts are expected to strongly influence the next election. The realignment saw one of the Tavari Prime Minister's confidence-and-supply partners cease to exist and, as a result, with only 576 seats between governing Irínavi Voi! and their partners the Tavari National Party—exactly half of the Diet—[[Žarís Nevran Alandar]] became susceptible to a vote of no confidence at any time, and will have to depend on votes from opposition lawmakers to ensure the continuance of her government. Tavari political observers believe that an early election is now likely, though how early remains to be seen.
 
== Background ==
 
In the general election of May 30th, 2022—called by Prime Minister [[Žarís Nevran Alandar]] as a measure to determine public approval of the [[Ranat Accords]] as a settlement to the [[Division Crisis]]—two previously long-standing political parties declined to stand candidates: the Tavari Communist Party (KMT, ''Kranσazdi Mõzbaσattivi Tavari''), whose entire administrative leadership had reconvened itself as the Acronian Communist Party after Acronian Independence, and the Democratic National Party (KDL, ''Kranσazdi Danvi Ladrenavi''), the party of Prime Minister Žarís Nevran Alandar, who decided instead to launch a new party, Irínavi Voi!, translated as “Onward Together!” Acronian independence also significantly reduced the membership of other political parties, such as the Socialist Party for Democracy (ÍLKS, ''Ítan Ladrena Kranσazdi Sošalσattivi'') and Green Tavaris (TE, ''Tavaris Etravi''); the Goddess and Country Party (ΣNDAND; ''ΣadaAvavnat ne Dan'') of the Akronist right also ceased operations in Tavaris entirely. In May of 2022, in the brief six-week election period, ÍLKS and TE agreed to merge into a single party organisation under a “provisional” charter to form the Socialist Green Party for Democracy (ÍLKES, ''Ítan Ladrena Kranσazdi Etravi Sošalσattivi''), which by virtue of the utter absence of the Communist Party rendered it virtually the only remaining political party on the left.
 
The coalition between the socialists and the greens in ÍLKES was widely seen as unstable—the green movement in Tavaris has historically been oriented toward the political centre, not the left, and has more often partnered with the right-wing Liberals than with parties on the left. The ÍLKES provisional charter delegated broad authority on nearly all decision-making jointly to two councils representing the “socialist” group and the “green” group, with the party president and national executive council relatively disempowered. Additionally, within the socialist group were two informal subfactions, social democrats and democratic socialists, who had themselves been competing for dominance within the preceding Socialist Party for Democracy for decades, a debate which did not cease after the merger. All of this led to administrative paralysis and a general inability of the party to make adjustments to policy goals or priorities, and has also hampered party efforts to assist in fundraising, especially in provincial and municipal elections.
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The Tavari National Party rejected The Liberals’ call for unification. Tracing its origin to Tavaris’ first governing political party (Írinavi Voi!, successor to the Democratic National Party, also shares this distinction), the National Party staunchly opposed joining an organisation to which they had been politically opposed for more than two centuries. Additionally, the party has seen consistently rising poll numbers since the 2022 election, including in many traditional Liberal areas, and leadership saw little to gain and much to lose in joining them. While they share the right-wing of Tavari politics, the modern KDT is particularly associated with [[Tavaris#Ancestral Veneration|Tavat Avati faith]]-associated religious nationalism in a way that The Liberals are not, and a strong, and controversial, element of party membership is explicitly anti-[[Akronism|Akronist]], while Liberal bylaws explicitly call the party “multireligious” and historically the party has generally tried to avoid religious politics altogether. In controversial remarks announcing their rejection of the merger talks, KDT party president Vadra Movri Kendranil said “The Liberals destroyed Queen Melora’s Empire, we want to restore it. The Liberals seek appeasement with radical Akronist terrorism, we want to defeat it. The Liberals are a stain on Tavaris and have been since the mid-1800s, and KDT will clean it.” Further political consolidation on the Tavari right is generally considered unlikely.
 
[[Category:The Acronisphere]]
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